3 Bold Predictions for Nuggets vs Cavs (Great value on a first scorer)

Feb 15, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Dallas Mavericks forward Christian Wood (35) reaches over Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) in the second half at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 15, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Dallas Mavericks forward Christian Wood (35) reaches over Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) in the second half at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports /
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The Denver Nuggets have been the best home team in the NBA this season with a 27-4 record at Ball Arena, but they’ll be on the road tonight at the team with the second best home record in the association.

The Cavs are 25-6 at home this season and Denver is just 14-14 on the road. That could spell trouble tonight for the Nuggets.

I’ve picked out three plus-money predictions for tonight’s game that you might want to take, but before we get to that, you won’t want to miss out on the chance to make the most of your money with a promotion from Caesars Sportsbook.

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Now let’s figure out how you’re gonna spend that risk-free bet.

Three Bold Predictions for Nuggets at Cavs

This game should be one of the best of the night with two surefire playoff teams from each conference facing off in a rare matchup.

There are short odds for stars on both sides of the court that are tantalizing to take, but since your first wager is risk-free, let’s look at some riskier plays instead.

Darius Garland to Score First Field Goal (+750)

Betting on the first player to make a field goal is always a risky proposition, no matter the odds or the logic behind it, but there are some significant stats that back up this play.

First, remember how well the Cavs play at home. Next, consider that the Cavs attempt the first shot in 60% of their games (7th highest in the NBA). Finally, Garland is a top-five player in the ENTIRE LEAGUE in first field goal attempts. Garland attempts the first field goal of the game 24% of the time.

You’re getting 7.5-to-1 odds on a player who attempts the first field goal in nearly 1-out-of-4 games. Of course, Garland has to make the shot for this to cash, but Garland has been on fire in February, making 58.5% of his field goals.

Nikola Jokic to Record a Triple-Double (+184)

This isn’t as risky as it is fun. Jokic is the new triple-double king of the NBA (sorry Russell Westbrook). He has recorded a triple-double in 12 of his last 16 games, including a 28-15-10 line in the Nuggets’ only matchup with the Cavs this season.

In what should be a high-intensity game for all four quarters, expect Jokic to deliver one of his better performances of the season.

Cleveland to Win + Over 222.5 (+238)

I know. You probably don’t want to bet on the Cavs to win, and I don’t blame you. But again, the Cavs are 25-6 (!!!) at home this season.

When you’re winning over 80 percent of your games at home, it’s really hard to take the other side, even if it is the West’s best team.

I’m taking Cleveland to win because -130 moneyline odds are a rare value for them at home, and I’m also taking the over. These teams have some of the best scorers in the NBA and the last time they met, these teams combined for 229 points in a game in which Mitchell didn’t even suit up.

You can ride with me on these bold predictions or you can make your own bet. All that matters is that you ensure yourself a risk-free night. Sign up with Caesars before this offer ends.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.