Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction and odds for Game 1 (Back Nuggets to roll at home)

Feb 7, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) controls the ball in the first quarter against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 7, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) controls the ball in the first quarter against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports /
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The first round series for the Denver Nuggets begins on Sunday at Ball Arena against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday night.

Denver will look to bolster it’s 34-7 home record with a Game 1 win against the Timberwolves, who went 20-21 on the road and had to fight through two Play-In Tournament games to secure the No. 8 seed.

Here are the odds for Game 1:

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds, spread and total

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction and pick

This is a brutal spot for the T’Wolves, who played an overtime game on Wednesday in Los Angeles, returned home for a must-win game against the Thunder, and now are back on the road at altitude against the two-time defending MVP.

I struggled to see Minnesota keeping up in this one as the team’s size is negated by the offensive prowess of Jokic. While the T’Wolves have a top 10 defense this season in terms of points allowed per 100 possessions, Jokic is going to lift Gobert away from the rim and the Nuggets will back cut Minnesota ad nauseam.

Further, Denver has some bodies to throw at Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards like the versatile Aaron Gordon, which can limit some of the explosiveness of the Minnesota offense. Not to mention, Edwards is nursing a shoulder injury suffered in the Lakers game on Wednesday.

More than anything, this is a brutal scheduling spot for the T’Wolves, who have had a longer playoff run than anyone at the moment after playing in two Play-In Tournament games. I don’t believe that this will give the momentum, but rather will leave the gas tank on empty. I like the Nuggets to roll at home.

Track all of Reed’s bets at Betstamp HERE!

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.