The Nuggets got off to a hot start in the 2023 NBA Finals, winning at home behind a complete team effort that saw five players reach double figures.
Now that we have one game to go off of, are certain players worthy of betting and fading in the player prop market with adjustments on the way from both coaching staffs? I am targeting Michael Porter Jr. and Jamal Murray to continue playing at a high level while Gabe Vincent of the Heat should continue to be a high usage player.
Here are three player props to go OVER on in Game 2:
Best NBA player props for Heat vs. Nuggets
- Michael Porter Jr. OVER 23.5 Points + Rebounds
- Jamal Murray OVER 6.5 Assists
- Gabe Vincent OVER 18.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Michael Porter Jr. OVER 23.5 Points + Rebounds
Porter Jr. had a complete performance in Game 1, scoring 14 points with 13 rebounds. However, he lacked his typical efficiency, hitting only five of his 16 field goal attempts and also making only two of 11 three’s.
The shots are going to be there for Porter Jr as Miami lacks the necessary size to check him on the wing, but I also like pairing his points with rebounds. He had 21 rebound chances in Game 1, per NBA.com, and I expect him to put together another well rounded box score in Game 2.
Jamal Murray OVER 6.5 Assists
Murray posted a double double in Game 1, dishing out 10 assists on a whopping 17 potential assists, and I like getting + money on this mark as well.
If the Heat are going to look to change it’s defensive coverage to make Nikola Jokic more of a scorer, Murray and the big man can work the pick-and-roll to high percentage looks. The Nuggets are likely going to see an a bump in three-point percentage after shooting 29% from deep in Game 1, and that should help the facilitator rack up the assists.
Gabe Vincent OVER 18.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Vincent has cleared this mark in eight of the 11 games that he has played 30 or more minutes and I see no reason for the Heat to shy away from him after he scored 19 points while dishing out five assists in Game 1.
Vincent has been shooting the ball at a 40% from beyond the arc on more than six attempts per game in the postseason, so his scoring has been a constant, but his assist and rebound numbers continue to help this prop out. He is averaging over five potential assists per game as well as nearly five rebound chances. This number is too low to ignore for someone consistently clearing this mark and needed on the floor.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.