Best NBA prop bets today for Nuggets vs. Pacers (Aaron Gordon undervalued vs. Indiana)

Breaking down the best prop bets for the Denver Nuggets in their game against the Indiana Pacers.

Denver Nuggets forward Aaron Gordon.
Denver Nuggets forward Aaron Gordon. / Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
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The Denver Nuggets are on the road for their second and final matchup with the Indiana Pacers this season on Tuesday night. 

Denver won the first meeting at home, but the team has struggled as a road favorite this season, going 6-12 against the spread. Now, the Nuggets are favored on the road with Tyrese Haliburton expected to miss this game. 

So, how should we bet on this matchup? 

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My favorite way to attack is in the prop market, focusing on three Denver starters to get the job done against Indiana. 

Nuggets vs. Pacers best NBA prop bets

  • Nikola Jokic OVER 11.5 rebounds
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
  • Aaron Gordon OVER 9.5 assists and rebounds

Nikola Jokic OVER 11.5 rebounds

This is a low prop for Nikola Jokic, who has 12 or more boards in four straight games. 

The Joker is averaging 11.9 rebounds per game on 18.7 rebound chances per game this season, and he’s now taking on an Indiana team that ranks 23rd in the league in rebounding percentage. 

Jokic grabbed 12 boards at home against Indiana, and the team has allowed some big rebounding numbers as of late (13 to Jusuf Nurkic, 12 to Jabari Walker). 

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope OVER 1.5 3-pointers made

I’m going back to the well with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, even though he failed to hit this prop in back-to-back games. 

KCP hit multiple 3s in Denver’s win over Indiana, and now he’s at plus money to do so on Tuesday night. The Nuggets guard still has multiple made shots from deep in five of his last seven games, and he’s taking 4.6 shots from deep per game since Christmas Day – including five attempts in his last game. 

The Pacers don’t allow a ton of 3-pointers, but opponents are shooting 37.9 percent from 3 against them, putting Indiana’s defense at No. 22 in the NBA in that category. 

I’ll take a shot on KCP at a favorable number. 

Aaron Gordon OVER 9.5 assists and rebounds

Aaron Gordon has 10 or more rebounds alone in three of the last four games for Denver, and he’s cleared this prop (over 9.5) in four straight and six of his last nine. 

On the season, Gordon is averaging 6.8 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game. We should see an uptick in possessions in this game with the Pacers (No. 2 in pace) looking to push the ball early and often. 

Gordon plays too many minutes for me to take the UNDER in an uptempo game.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.