Heat vs. Nuggets NBA expert prediction and odds for Thursday, Feb. 29 (Surging Nuggets set to cover Finals rematch)

Feb 28, 2024; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) controls the ball in
Feb 28, 2024; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) controls the ball in / Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The Nuggets and Heat meet on Thursday night in Denver in a rematch of the 2023 NBA Finals.

Both teams are in heated playoff positioning battles with the Nuggets trying to run down the likes of the Thunder and Timberwolves for the No. 1 seed in the West while Miami is trying to win the Southwest Division and avoid the Play-In Tournament.

Can the Nuggets keep its post-All-Star break surge going? Here's our best bet for Thursday's tilt out west.

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Heat vs. Nuggets Odds, Spread and Total

Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Trends

  • The Heat have covered in nine of the last 10 games
  • The Nuggets are 26-31-2 against the spread (ATS) this season
  • The Heat have gone UNDER in 36 of 58 games this season
  • The Nuggets have gone UNDER in 37 of 59 games (1 push)

Heat vs. Nuggets Injury Reports

Heat Injury Report

  • Orlando Robinson - probable
  • Tyler Herro - questionable
  • Kevin Love - OUT
  • Josh Richardson - OUT

Nuggets Injury Report

  • N/A

Nuggets vs. Heat How to Watch

  • Date: Thursday, February 29th
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM EST
  • Venue: Ball Arena
  • How to Watch (TV): TNT
  • Nuggets Record: 33-25
  • Heat Record: 40-19

Nuggets vs. Heat Key Players to Watch


Nikola Jokic: Jokic has posted a triple-double in four straight games since the All-Star break, all double-digit Denver wins. The favorite to win his third MVP, Jokic will look to get the better of the Heat just like the 2023 NBA Finals.


Jimmy Butler: The Heat are starting to find its stride, and Butler returned from a one-game suspension by the NBA to score 22 points with nine assists and four steals against the Blazers as the Heat won its fourth straight since the All-Star break.

Nuggets vs. Heat Prediction and Pick

The Nuggets are starting to reach its playoff form, and I'm not stepping in front of them, especially with the potential road-weary Heat, who are finishing its four-game west coast swing on Thursday night.

The Heat offense remains an enigma, 20th in offensive rating, per NBA.com, while playing at the third slowest tempo. Denver will happily get into a halfcourt battle with the Heat, playing at the fourth slowest pace in the league, but the offense is far more potent around the MVP frontrunner Jokic, especially at home. Denver is third in offensive rating at home, posting the third-highest net rating at +10.2.

The Nuggets are rolling and I see little reason why the team's home success can't continue, able to outpace the Heat in a halfcourt showdown to win by multiple possessions.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Track Reed's bets here!