Nuggets vs. Suns prediction and odds for Game 6 (Bet Denver to close it out)

May 5, 2023; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) against the Phoenix Suns during game three of the 2023 NBA playoffs at Footprint Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
May 5, 2023; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) against the Phoenix Suns during game three of the 2023 NBA playoffs at Footprint Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports /
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The Denver Nuggets blew out the Phoenix Suns in Game 5 in Denver, and they are one win away from advancing to the Western Conference Finals.

Denver has been dominant at home in this postseason, going 6-0, but it needs a road win in Game 6 to close out Devin Booker and Kevin Durant.

Phoenix may get Chris Paul (groin) back for this game, but the team was exposed in Game 5 with Booker coming back to earth a bit after shooting 34-for-43 in Games 3 and 4 combined.

Can Nuggets fans trust their squad to avoid a Game 7?

Here are the latest odds and my best bet for this game:

Nuggets vs. Suns odds, spread and total

Nuggets vs. Suns prediction and pick

Denver comes into this game as a 3.5-point underdog, but I think it is going to pull off the upset to win.

As I mentioned, Phoenix needed all-time performances from Booker and Durant to win Games 3 and 4, and the Nuggets were still in both of those games down to the final buzzer.

Booker shot 8-for-19 in Game 5, missing more shots in that contest than he did in two games in Phoenix. To expect him to be that insanely efficient like he was earlier in this series is a fool’s errand.

Denver is without a doubt the deeper team in this series, and the Suns have not had an answer for Nikola Jokic through five games.

I expect Denver to take advantage of a potentially shorthanded Suns team in Game 6 to close out the series.

Editor’s note: Jamal Murray was added to the injury report on Thursday afternoon with a non-COVID illness. The point spread did not move upon the update. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.