The Denver Nuggets picked up a huge win on Friday night against the Boston Celtics, handing them their first home loss of the season.
Now, the Nuggets are massive favorites on the road against the Washington Wizards, but the team has struggled against the spread on the road – going just 8-14.
With that in mind, I’m looking to the prop market for my favorite bets in the Nuggets-Wizards game tonight, including a pick for Nikola Jokic.
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Let’s break down these props – and their odds – on Sunday.
Nuggets vs. Wizards best NBA prop bets
- Nikola Jokic OVER 11.5 rebounds
- Kyle Kuzma OVER 18.5 points
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
Nikola Jokic OVER 11.5 rebounds
Nikola Jokic is averaging 11.9 rebounds per game this season, and now he’s taking on the worst rebounding team in the NBA.
Not only does Washington allow a league-high 49.8 rebounds per game, but it also ranks dead last in rebounding percentage at 44.7 percent.
The Wizards also play at the fastest pace in the NBA, which means there’s going to be a ton of possessions in this game.
Jokic is averaging 18.6 rebounding chances per game this season, clearing this prop in three straight contests. I love him to dominate the glass against a Washington that could be down starting center Daniel Gafford.
Kyle Kuzma OVER 18.5 points
This is a low line for Wizards forward Kyle Kuzma, who is averaging 21.9 points per game this season.
Kuzma has failed to clear this total in back-to-back games, but overall he’s put up 19 or more points in 27 of his 41 games this season.
The veteran forward is taking plenty of shots – 18.8 per game – which gives him a solid floor to clear this line on Sunday.
I am worried about Denver winning big and forcing Washington to empty its bench, but the Nuggets have struggled to cover on the road this season. I’ll take a shot at Kuzma having a bounce-back game.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
Opponents are shooting 37.9 percent from 3 against the Wizards this season, a great sign for Nuggets guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope.
KCP is shooting 40.5 percent from 3 this season, and he’s made multiple shots from deep in five of his last six games.
The attempts aren’t always there for KCP – he took just three 3s against Boston – but he’s going to play a lot of minutes, clearing 30 minutes in six of his last eight games.
I’m banking on Caldwell-Pope getting a few easy looks from downtown tonight against a weak Washington defense (30th in defensive rating) that will speed up this game.
Since Christmas, KCP has eight games with multiple made shots from deep in 12 contests.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.